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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
23.35% ( 0.04) | 25.51% ( 0.03) | 51.13% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.91% ( -0.07) | 54.09% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.48% ( -0.06) | 75.52% ( 0.06) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.68% | 38.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.92% | 75.08% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( -0.06) | 21.18% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.95% ( -0.09) | 54.05% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.35% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 51.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | BarrowBarrow | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Gillingham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Notts County | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Port Vale | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Chesterfield | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
17 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
19 | MK Dons | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
24 | Morecambe | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
> League Two Full Table |