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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
61.36% ( -0.06) | 20.56% ( 0) | 18.08% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( 0.08) | 39.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( 0.08) | 62.17% ( -0.08) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( 0.01) | 12.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.48% ( 0.01) | 38.52% ( -0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( 0.11) | 35.49% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% ( 0.11) | 72.26% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.36% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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