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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
27.49% ( -0.4) | 24.28% ( -0.14) | 48.22% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( 0.36) | 45.79% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( 0.34) | 68.11% ( -0.34) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( -0.11) | 30.36% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.45% ( -0.13) | 66.55% ( 0.13) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( 0.36) | 19.08% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% ( 0.59) | 50.68% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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