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AFC Wimbledon
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Salford City
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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Salford City

Wrexham
3 - 2
Salford City

Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-3 Stockport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City

There is still an awful lot of football to be played this season, but this feels like a very big football match for a number of reasons. Salford will be looking to flex their muscles, but Wrexham are in a good place at the moment, and we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawSalford City
56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.050999999999995 0.05)58.31% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Salford City 22.13%
    Draw 21.07%
WrexhamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Salford City

Wrexham
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Salford City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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