EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 7.15pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Faal (18'), Hurst (55')
Biggins (75'), Senior (77'), Anderson (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lubala (84')
Gilligan (12'), Gordon (45'), Seddon (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Doncaster Rovers and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Accrington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Burton Albion
43.27% ( -0)	25.91%	30.83% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.05% (

50.95% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18% (

72.82% (

-0)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

23.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

57.41% (

-0)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

30.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

66.84% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 43.26%

Burton Albion 30.83%

Draw 25.9%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.83%