FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
2 - 2
Accrington

Faal (9+9'), Biggins (81')
Anderson (45+1'), Nixon (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Whalley (74'), Conneely (84')
Woods (27'), Hills (29'), Leigh (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Doncaster Rovers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Accrington Stanley

In what is a tough encounter to call on paper, home advantage and a strong recent cup record may favour Doncaster slightly in this one. Accrington are notorious for struggling to get past the first round, and having been given a difficult draw, another early exit could be on the cards for Coleman's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
38.78%	24.52%	36.69%

Both teams to score 59.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.57%

43.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17%

65.82%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66%

22.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18%

55.82%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58%

23.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59%

57.41%

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 38.78%

Accrington Stanley 36.69%

Draw 24.52%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.78%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.69%