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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester United |
41.63% ( -0.02) | 24.93% ( 0) | 33.44% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% ( -0) | 45.87% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.82% ( -0) | 68.18% ( 0) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( -0.01) | 22.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( -0.01) | 55.32% ( 0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.01) | 61.56% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester United |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |