EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
3 - 5
Accrington

Folarin (35', 76'), Mattock (58')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Trickett (27', 89'), Adedoyin (30', 37', 51')
Shipley (61'), Bagueloc'rich (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
43.69% ( 0.55)	25.78% ( -0)	30.53% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 53.41% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46% (

-0.22)

50.53% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54% (

-0.19)

72.45% (

0.19)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

0.17)

23.03% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15% (

0.25)

56.84% (

-0.25)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0.49)

30.6% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

-0.58)

66.84% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 43.68%

Accrington Stanley 30.53%

Draw 25.77%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.53%