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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Grimsby Town

Doncaster
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Ironside (72' pen.)
Bailey (51'), Close (68'), Jones (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Holohan (44'), Rose (74')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 0-3 Salford City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
41.43% (0.11 0.11) 25.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 33.38% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.046999999999997 0.05)47.07% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.044 0.04)69.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.075000000000003 0.08)22.62% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (0.11 0.11)56.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)62.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.43%
    Grimsby Town 33.38%
    Draw 25.19%
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.38%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Doncaster
1-2
Grimsby Town
Barlow (26')
Maher (85'), Lloyd (90+6')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Grimsby Town
1-3
Doncaster
McAtee (79')
Miller (6', 63'), Biggins (51')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-0
Doncaster
Cook (40')

Taylor (78')
Oct 9, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Doncaster
2-0
Grimsby Town
May (23', 57' pen.)
Anderson (31'), Anderson (90')

Pringle (89')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Grimsby Town
1-1
Doncaster
Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Cardwell (29')
Jones (20'), Davies (69')
Williams (38')
Mandeville (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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