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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Burton Albion

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Burton Albion

Rodrigues (25', 83'), McGuane (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (74')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBurton Albion
61.95% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 21.74% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)48.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.067 0.07)70.21% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.61% (0.095999999999997 0.1)43.39% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.11% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)78.9% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 61.95%
    Burton Albion 16.31%
    Draw 21.73%
Oxford UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 16.31%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
2-0
Oxford Utd
Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
2-1
Burton Albion
Brannagan (48'), Joseph (71')
Findlay (86')
Adeboyejo (77')
Hughes (58'), Brayford (60')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
Aug 11, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Burton Albion
1-1
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties
Mousinho (90+6' og.)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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