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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 7
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Oxford United

Lincoln
0 - 2
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (13'), Jensen (64' og.)
Rodrigues (40'), O'Donkor (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Oxford United

Lincoln have lost just one of their six home league games this season, but we think they will do enough to hold their high-flying opponents to a score draw in Tuesday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
32.11%26.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 51.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04%66.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 32.11%
    Oxford United 41.39%
    Draw 26.48%
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.11%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 41.39%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Oxford Utd

Lincoln City
51.3%
Draw
5.1%
Oxford United
43.6%
39
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Lincoln
1-0
Oxford Utd
Mandroiu (23' pen.)
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
1-2
Lincoln
Brannagan (69' pen.)
Seddon (36'), Taylor (38')
Hopper (21'), Scully (45+1')
Roughan (81'), Sorensen (88'), Eyoma (90+2')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
2-0
Oxford Utd
Scully (40'), Whittaker (56')

Taylor (90')
Kane (77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Oxford Utd
3-1
Lincoln
Henry (12', 24', 73' pen.)
Scully (87' pen.)
Bridcutt (64')
Mar 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
2-1
Lincoln
Forde (29'), Taylor (57')
Stevens (43'), Hanson (45+4')
Scully (4')
Edun (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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