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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Oxford United are the more in-form side heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them strong favourites. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done and come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
59.08% (-1.152 -1.15) 22.6% (0.383 0.38) 18.32% (0.765 0.77)
Both teams to score 50.11% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (-0.417 -0.42)48.42% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-0.381 -0.38)70.56% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (-0.52799999999999 -0.53)16.04% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (-0.972 -0.97)45.4% (0.968 0.97)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65)40.31% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.592 0.59)76.94% (-0.595 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 59.06%
    Shrewsbury Town 18.32%
    Draw 22.6%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.115 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')
Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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