League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd3 - 0Shrewsbury
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
We said: Oxford United 3-1 Shrewsbury Town
Oxford United are the more in-form side heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them strong favourites. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done and come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
59.08% ( -1.15) | 22.6% ( 0.38) | 18.32% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
