MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 19:43:19| >> :600:271578:271578:
Oxford United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
MK Dons

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
MK Dons


McEachran (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Payne (56' pen.)
Stewart (4'), Tomlinson (39'), Lewington (45'), Tripp (67'), Harvie (69')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMK Dons
48.86% (-0.205 -0.2) 24.39% (0.186 0.19) 26.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-0.597 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.798 -0.8)46.8% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.75 -0.75)69.06% (0.744 0.74)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.396 -0.4)19.21% (0.391 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-0.653 -0.65)50.91% (0.647 0.65)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-0.405 -0.41)31.46% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-0.472 -0.47)67.84% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.86%
    MK Dons 26.74%
    Draw 24.39%
Oxford UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.208 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.155 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.74%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Kaikai (25')
Bate (71')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Oxford Utd
1-2
MK Dons
Mousinho (89')
Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
1-0
MK Dons
Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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