EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd0 - 1MK Dons
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and MK Dons.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | MK Dons |
48.86% ( -0.2) | 24.39% ( 0.19) | 26.74% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -0.8) | 46.8% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.75) | 69.06% ( 0.74) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( -0.4) | 19.21% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( -0.65) | 50.91% ( 0.65) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -0.41) | 31.46% ( 0.4) |