League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 2Oxford Utd
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Oxford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Derby
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Oxford United |
52.77% ( -0.03) | 24.49% ( 0.01) | 22.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( -0.02) | 50.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( -0.02) | 72.58% ( 0.02) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.02) | 19.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.17% ( -0.03) | 50.82% ( 0.03) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( 0) | 36.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.22% ( 0) | 73.78% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 52.77%
Oxford United 22.74%
Draw 24.48%
| Derby County | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.77% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.74% |
How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd
Derby County
90.5%Draw
9.5%Oxford United
0.0%21
