MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 18:07:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Sheffield Wednesday logo
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Smith (43' pen.)
Brown (61'), Palmer (74'), Johnson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (43'), Smith (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Derby County

 Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
50.6% (0.424 0.42) 25.52% (-0.168 -0.17) 23.88% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.42599999999999 0.43)53.67% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.357 0.36)75.16% (-0.358 -0.36)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.355 0.36)21.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.54799999999999 0.55)54.13% (-0.548 -0.55)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
    Derby County 23.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Derby County
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Derby
0-0
Sheff Weds

Dobbin (52')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!