League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth
The two sides played out a goalless draw when they met in November, and with both sides proving tough to beat in recent weeks, we think that Saturday's meeting could also finish all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Portsmouth |
53.54% ( -0) | 24.17% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
