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League One
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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
0 - 0
Sheff Weds


Dobbin (52'), Bird (64')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Derby County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

 Derby County look to be improving under Paul Warne and they do possess quality, but we see the visitors being slightly too strong and extending their dominant run of form with a narrow away win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.49% (0.674 0.67) 25.25% (-0.15 -0.15) 34.27% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (0.57700000000001 0.58)47.11% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.534 0.53)69.35% (-0.533 -0.53)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.596 0.6)23.11% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (0.863 0.86)56.96% (-0.862 -0.86)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.49%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.27%
    Draw 25.25%
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.115 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Derby vs Sheff Weds

Derby County
51.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
37.0%
27
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Johnson (10')
Bogle (43'), Holmes (45')
Iorfa (57')
Reach (27'), Palmer (91'), Winnall (94')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623
> League One Full Table


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