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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Exeter

Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aimson (82')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-9 Reading
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
44.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.81% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (-0.412 -0.41)47.67% (0.412 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.382 -0.38)69.86% (0.381 0.38)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.199 -0.2)21.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.305 -0.31)54.76% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.23 -0.23)28.97% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.288 -0.29)64.86% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.06%
    Exeter City 30.81%
    Draw 25.13%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.81%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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