League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter1 - 1Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Lincoln City
Exeter are a lot better than they have shown of late, and we are backing their run of defeats to come to an end this weekend. Lincoln will be seeking a third straight win under their interim head coach, but Exeter should be good enough to claim a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Lincoln City |
33.54% ( 0.05) | 26.76% ( 0.01) | 39.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( -0.04) | 53.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( -0.03) | 75.15% ( 0.04) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0.01) | 30.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.01) | 66.3% ( -0.01) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( -0.05) | 26.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.07) | 61.66% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Exeter City 33.54%
Lincoln City 39.69%
Draw 26.75%
| Exeter City | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.69% |
How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln
Exeter City
50.0%Draw
16.7%Lincoln City
33.3%6
