MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 13:16:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
1 - 1
Lincoln

Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Lincoln City

Exeter are a lot better than they have shown of late, and we are backing their run of defeats to come to an end this weekend. Lincoln will be seeking a third straight win under their interim head coach, but Exeter should be good enough to claim a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
33.54% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 26.76% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 39.7% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)53.66% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.014000000000003 0.01)66.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)26.47% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)61.66% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 33.54%
    Lincoln City 39.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.69%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
Draw
Lincoln City
Exeter City
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Lincoln City
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
May 17, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Exeter
3-1
Lincoln
Stockley (27'), Boateng (47'), Harley (69')
Stockley (89'), Moxey (90')
Green (78')
Eardley (18'), Bostwick (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!