Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.