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Forest Green Rovers
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn
Oxford United

Forest Green
0 - 1
Oxford Utd


Inniss (13'), Omotoye (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goodrham (49')
Rodriguez (53'), Negru (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Oxford United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
29.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 23.54% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 46.99% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.35% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (0.164 0.16)41.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (0.167 0.17)63.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)26.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.073 0.07)61.83% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.095999999999989 0.1)17.76% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (0.166 0.17)48.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 29.46%
    Oxford United 46.99%
    Draw 23.54%
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Oxford Utd

Forest Green Rovers
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford United
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Forest Green
0-3
Oxford Utd
Joseph (11'), Goodrham (46'), Bodin (68')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Boyes (19' og.)
Matt (60')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Shodipo (64')
Bailey (45+1')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Forest Green
0-3
Oxford Utd

McGinley (26')
Henry (36'), Mackie (47'), Browne (78')
Brannagan (65')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
0-0
Forest Green
Mousinho (52'), McMahon (58')
Winchester (60')
rhs 2.0
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15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
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> Premier League Full Table


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