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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
64.13% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.01) | 15.88% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( 0.02) | 41.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.43% ( 0.02) | 63.57% ( -0.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% ( 0.01) | 12.15% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.24% ( 0.02) | 37.76% ( -0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% ( -0) | 38.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% | 75.65% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 10.5% 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |