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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Burton Albion

Peterborough
4 - 0
Burton Albion

Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Burton Albion

Burton are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Peterborough despite their recent problems, and we are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline. Peterborough have been in strong form in the league, though, and we are backing them to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
64.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 15.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.76% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35%75.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 64.12%
    Burton Albion 15.88%
    Draw 19.99%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5%
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 64.12%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.88%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Peterborough United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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