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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Peterborough United

Port Vale
0 - 1
Peterborough


Garrity (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Peterborough United

Peterborough have picked up victories on their last two trips to Vale Park, and with the Valiants experiencing a poor run of form, we think that Posh will claim another away victory over Port Vale on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
34.93% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 24.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.25% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.14899999999999 0.15)45.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.144 0.14)67.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.11% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.477 0.48)59.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.161 -0.16)22.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.244 -0.24)55.77% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.94%
    Peterborough United 40.25%
    Draw 24.81%
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Peterborough

Port Vale
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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