EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Mansfield

Stockton (34'), Hamer (53')
Oshilaja (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cooper (21')
Flint (83'), Bowery (86'), Boateng (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mansfield Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Newport
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Mansfield Town
23.41% ( 0.06)	22.53% ( 0.04)	54.06% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.45% (

-0.1)

41.54% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.05% (

-0.1)

63.94% (

0.1)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-0)

31.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-0.01)

67.71% (

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

-0.07)

15.34% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.9% (

-0.13)

44.1% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 23.41%

Mansfield Town 54.06%

Draw 22.52%

Burton Albion	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.41%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.06%