FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
1 - 2
Wrexham

Oates (60')
Reed (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mansfield Town 0-1 Wrexham

Sweating over the fitness of Akins and reeling from their first defeat of the season, the stage appears set for a jelly-legged Mansfield to suffer a second cup exit in a matter of days. Despite their unenviable injury list, Wrexham have been a tough nut to crack on enemy territory in recent weeks, and we believe that Parkinson's men have what it takes to shade a tight battle to book their place in round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Wrexham
53.6% ( 0.32)	23.2% ( -0.05)	23.2% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

-0.08)

44.77% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

-0.08)

67.13% (

0.07)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.08)

16.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5% (

0.15)

46.5% (

-0.15)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

-0.28)

33.3% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

-0.31)

69.92% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 53.6%

Wrexham 23.2%

Draw 23.2%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.6%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.2%