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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
50.42% ( 0.92) | 23.56% ( -0.16) | 26.02% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% ( 0.13) | 43.7% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% ( 0.12) | 66.09% ( -0.12) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( 0.4) | 17.42% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% ( 0.69) | 47.86% ( -0.69) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% ( -0.51) | 30.38% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( -0.61) | 66.58% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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