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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Grimsby Town

Wrexham
3 - 0
Grimsby Town

Palmer (21'), Boyle (31'), Lee (79')
McClean (6'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Conteh (39'), Maher (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 9 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 1-0 Grimsby Town

 Wrexham have been in good form, winning their last three games in all competitions, and they are unbeaten at home since the opening day of the season. On the other hand, Grimsby Town are yet to pick up a win away from home this season, so we think the hosts will take all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
59.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 20.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 19.4% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.055 0.05)39.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.019999999999996 0.02)39.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.82% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.066999999999997 0.07)70.48% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 59.68%
    Grimsby Town 19.4%
    Draw 20.92%
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Grimsby Town

Wrexham
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Grimsby Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 12.30pm
Wrexham
4-5
Grimsby Town
Mullin (13' pen., 65'), Tozer (63'), Davies (80')
Tozer (45+3'), Young (98'), Palmer (105')
McAtee (15'), Waterfall (47', 119'), Taylor (72'), Dieseruvwe (78')
Amos (24'), Waterfall (28'), Taylor (36')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Wrexham
1-0
Grimsby Town
Palmer (35')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
3-1
Wrexham
Taylor (27'), Waterfall (34'), Wright (90')
Sousa (60'), Clifton (66')
Hyde (22')
Redmond (25'), French (49')
Mar 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Wrexham
Disley (7')
Tait (46'), Hoban (89'), Clay (92')

Jennings (45')
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-0
Grimsby Town
Evans (25')
Gowling (31'), Monkhouse (36'), Disley (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52
> League Two Full Table


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