Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Wrexham |
41.14% | 25.93% | 32.92% |
Both teams to score 53.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% | 50.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% | 72.33% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% | 24.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% | 58.57% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% | 28.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% | 64.8% |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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