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Swindon Town
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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon Town

Notts County
2 - 0
Swindon

McGoldrick (17', 36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kilkenny (29'), Delaney (58'), Clarke (82'), Wright (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Colchester
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Swindon Town

While Notts County and Swindon are at opposite ends of the table, the hosts have won just 50% of their 10 fixtures on home turf, while the visitors have notched one win from 13 road matches, albeit playing a league-high seven away draws. Despite the Magpies' tag as favourites, Saturday's encounter could see both sides share the spoils in a high-scoring draw in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
51.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.16% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.27%
    Swindon Town 26.13%
    Draw 22.59%
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Swindon

Notts County
Draw
Swindon Town
Notts County
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Swindon Town
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Swindon
1-2
Notts County
Kilkenny (21')
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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