Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Walsall in this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Walsall |
40.5% ( -0.07) | 25.94% ( 0.02) | 33.57% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( -0.09) | 50.26% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( -0.08) | 72.21% ( 0.08) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.5% ( -0.08) | 24.5% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.04% ( -0.11) | 58.96% ( 0.11) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% ( -0.02) | 28.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.78% ( -0.02) | 64.22% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |