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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Walsall |
48.7% ( 0.25) | 21.26% ( -0.06) | 30.04% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 69.3% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.39% ( 0.15) | 29.61% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.28% ( 0.19) | 50.71% ( -0.2) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( 0.13) | 12.84% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.79% ( 0.27) | 39.2% ( -0.28) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% ( -0.03) | 20.48% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.04% ( -0.05) | 52.95% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |