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AFC Wimbledon
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Newport County
Notts County
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Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Walsall

Newport
3 - 3
Walsall

Morris (4', 67'), Evans (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Draper (16', 53', 90+6')
Knowles (61'), Draper (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 4-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Walsall

With both teams having been inconsistent throughout this campaign, this is a difficult match to predict. Although Walsall head into this contest in better form, Newport have been solid on home territory, and that could lead to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
45.85% (0.205 0.2) 25.13% (-0.041 -0.04) 29.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)48.53% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.088000000000001 0.09)70.65% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.13199999999999 0.13)21.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.203 0.2)54.06% (-0.2 -0.2)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)30.65% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.9% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.84%
    Walsall 29.02%
    Draw 25.12%
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Newport vs Walsall

Newport County
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Walsall
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Walsall
1-1
Newport
Norman (78')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
0-1
Walsall

Bennett (8')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Hutchinson (16'), Daniels (65'), Allen (67'), Comley (72')
Allen (84')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Walsall
3-3
Newport
Wilkinson (53', 90+5'), Dolan (65' og.)
Labadie (64')
Telford (4', 66'), Wilkinson (56' og.)
Baker-Richardson (59')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Walsall
Demetriou (9'), Clarke (87')
Upson (18')
Shade (45+2')
Feb 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Walsall
0-1
Newport

Gordon (8'), Vincent (53')
Labadie (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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