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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
34.46% ( -0.23) | 26.28% ( -0.18) | 39.27% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( 0.72) | 51.54% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( 0.62) | 73.34% ( -0.62) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( 0.21) | 28.52% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( 0.26) | 64.3% ( -0.25) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 0.56) | 25.73% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% ( 0.75) | 60.66% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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