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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
19.41% ( -0.02) | 20.61% ( -0.01) | 59.97% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% ( 0.04) | 37.88% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% ( 0.04) | 60.13% ( -0.04) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( 0.01) | 32.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( 0.01) | 69.53% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.69% ( 0.02) | 12.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.91% ( 0.04) | 38.09% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.41% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 59.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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