Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.