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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
1 - 0
Notts County

Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Notts County
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
19.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.61% (-0.012 -0.01) 59.97% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)60.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.53% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.015999999999991 0.02)12.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.035999999999994 0.04)38.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 19.41%
    Notts County 59.98%
    Draw 20.61%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 59.98%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Crewe
2-0
Notts County
Raynes (44'), Bowery (66')
Lowery (31'), Ng (68'), Porter (88')

Yates (64'), Ameobi (70'), Dickinson (82')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Crewe
2-2
Notts County
Dagnall (38'), Jones (66')
Campbell (9'), O'Connor (51')
Hewitt (86'), Ameobi (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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