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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
38.23% ( -0.02) | 25.24% ( -0) | 36.53% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( 0.01) | 46.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( 0) | 69.04% ( -0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.01) | 24.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( -0.01) | 58.42% ( 0.01) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( 0.02) | 59.71% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |