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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
48.95% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( -0) | 28.13% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.61% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% ( 0.01) | 39.08% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% ( 0.01) | 61.4% ( -0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( 0.01) | 16.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( 0.01) | 45.74% ( -0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% | 26.45% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% | 61.62% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.56% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |