League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
4 - 1
Newport

Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County

Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Newport County
33.35% ( -0.03)	25.36% ( -0.04)	41.28% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.19% (

0.18)

47.8% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30% (

0.17)

69.99% (

-0.17)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.07)

27.39% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

0.09)

62.86% (

-0.1)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

0.12)

23.01% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

0.17)

56.82% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 33.35%

Newport County 41.28%

Draw 25.36%

Crawley Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.28%