League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
6 - 0
Crawley

Kemp (34'), Young (47', 51', 60', 71'), Shade (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Arsenal U21s (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Crawley Town
44.11% ( -0.01)	24.57% ( 0)	31.32% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.81% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.03% (

-0.01)

44.96% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

-0.01)

67.32% (

0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0)

20.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

-0.01)

52.97% (

0.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0)

27.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.73% (

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 44.11%

Crawley Town 31.32%

Draw 24.57%

Swindon Town	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.32%