EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 1
Swindon

Randall (7')
Kyprianou (41')

FT
(aet)

Hepburn-Murphy (49')
Blake-Tracy (45+2')

Peterborough win 4-1 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Peterborough United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Swindon Town
49% ( 0.02)	23.82% ( -0.01)	27.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.05% (

0.04)

43.94% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67% (

0.04)

66.33% (

-0.04)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94% (

0.03)

18.05% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.04% (

0.04)

48.96% (

-0.04)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37% (

0.01)

29.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33% (

0.02)

65.67% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 49%

Swindon Town 27.18%

Draw 23.81%

Peterborough United	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 49%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.81%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.18%