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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.84% (![]() | 24.34% (![]() | 22.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% (![]() | 71.99% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% (![]() | 18.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% (![]() | 50.36% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.45% (![]() | 36.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.66% (![]() | 73.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 11.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |