League Two

League Two | Gameweek 6

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Evans (45+2'), Bogle (55')
Delaney (33')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tilley (9', 30')
Pell (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Brentford (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
43.9% ( -0.01)	26.03% ( 0)	30.07% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.25% (

-0.01)

51.75% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.48% (

-0)

73.52% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-0.01)

23.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-0.01)

57.47% (

0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

31.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

67.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Newport County 43.9%

AFC Wimbledon 30.07%

Draw 26.02%

Newport County	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.07%