EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
AFC Wimbledon2 - 1Coventry
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship
We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-4 Coventry City
While Robins will inevitably rotate his squad for this fixture, their current strength in depth means that it should work to their advantage. Wimbledon may threaten for a time, but we feel that the Sky Blues will run out convincing winners. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Coventry City |
25.63% ( 1.32) | 25.14% ( 1.1) | 49.22% ( -2.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
