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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
33.1% ( -0.07) | 27.6% ( 0.01) | 39.3% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.68% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.99% ( -0.06) | 57.01% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.09% ( -0.05) | 77.9% ( 0.05) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( -0.08) | 32.13% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( -0.09) | 68.61% ( 0.09) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0) | 28.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( -0) | 63.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |