League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon1 - 1Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Newport County
It is never really clear which Newport County side are going to turn up, given their inconsistent form in League Two this season, so it would not be a surprise if they managed to emerge victorious on Boxing Day. However, the most likely result is a comprehensive win for AFC Wimbledon, given their recent uptick in form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newport County |
39.04% ( 0.2) | 27.5% ( -0.07) | 33.47% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% ( 0.27) | 56.58% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% ( 0.21) | 77.56% ( -0.21) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.24) | 28.22% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.08% ( 0.31) | 63.92% ( -0.3) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( 0.05) | 31.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.06) | 68.08% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon 39.03%
Newport County 33.46%
Draw 27.5%
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.46% |
How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Newport
AFC Wimbledon
88.9%Draw
0.0%Newport County
11.1%9
Head to Head
May 7, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Newport
Olusanya (80' pen.)
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Form Guide
