League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Notts County3 - 1Swindon
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 5-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
47.77% ( -0.27) | 21.67% ( -0.04) | 30.56% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 68.07% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.39) | 31.34% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.21% ( 0.46) | 52.79% ( -0.46) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( 0.06) | 13.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.92% ( 0.11) | 41.08% ( -0.11) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.37) | 21.06% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.14% ( 0.57) | 53.86% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Notts County 47.77%
Swindon Town 30.56%
Draw 21.67%
| Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.87% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.56% |
How you voted: Notts County vs Swindon
Notts County
33.3%Draw
16.7%Swindon Town
50.0%6
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 3pm
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide
