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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Swindon Town |
25.43% ( 0.01) | 24.1% ( 0.02) | 50.46% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( -0.09) | 46.58% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( -0.09) | 68.86% ( 0.09) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -0.05) | 32.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( -0.05) | 68.9% ( 0.05) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( -0.05) | 18.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( -0.08) | 49.71% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.43% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |