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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
5 - 3
Sutton

Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-0 Sutton United

 Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.64%
    Sutton United 28.39%
    Draw 24.96%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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