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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
2 - 1
Sutton

Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Sutton United

Sutton United will be looking to quickly bounce back to winning ways after their slender defeat against Walsall on Saturday. However, they go up against a solid Swindon Town side who have won three of their last four home games. With just one point between the sides in the table, we expect a cagey affair on Tuesday with the spoils being shared at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
48.92%25.41%25.66%
Both teams to score 51.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79%21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9%54.1%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23%71.77%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 48.91%
    Sutton United 25.66%
    Draw 25.41%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.91%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon Town
61.1%
Draw
38.9%
Sutton United
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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