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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Notts County

Cheltenham
3 - 5
Notts County

Stubbs (4'), Bowman (47'), Colwill (60')
John Flynn (29'), Payne (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jatta (26', 90+3'), Martin (39'), Abbott (58'), Austin (62')
Palmer (28'), Hinchy (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Crewe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Notts County
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Notts County

Cheltenham are getting their act together, and we have confidence they will continue to ride their strong home form to another three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 35.33% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawNotts County
39.46% (0.112 0.11) 25.22% (0.041 0.04) 35.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.21 -0.21)46.79% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.196 -0.2)69.05% (0.2 0.2)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)23.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.51% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.187 -0.19)25.73% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.251 -0.25)60.65% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.46%
    Notts County 35.33%
    Draw 25.21%
Cheltenham TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Notts County

Cheltenham Town
34.0%
Draw
21.3%
Notts County
44.7%
47
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
4-1
Notts County
Boyle (29'), Varney (36' pen.), Waters (55'), Barnett (88')
Hemmings (69' pen.)
Rose (72')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Notts County
0-3
Cheltenham

Hawkridge (42'), Turley (72')
Varney (35', 65'), Barnett (87')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bromley2271053126531
11Bradford CityBradford218762623331
12MK Dons209383328530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2245132038-1817


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