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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
1 - 2
Notts County

Kilkenny (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
41.29% (-0.256 -0.26) 23.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.12% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.11199999999999 0.11)39.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (0.117 0.12)61.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.111 -0.11)51.09% (0.116 0.12)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.19699999999999 0.2)22.31% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.291 0.29)55.77% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.29%
    Notts County 35.12%
    Draw 23.6%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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