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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.29% ( -0.26) | 23.6% ( -0.01) | 35.12% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 62.68% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.83% ( 0.11) | 39.17% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.5% ( 0.12) | 61.5% ( -0.11) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.67% ( -0.06) | 19.33% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.91% ( -0.11) | 51.09% ( 0.12) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.2) | 22.31% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0.29) | 55.77% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |